Line Scout

Live line moves & sharp steam

Only moves that clear strict thresholds, each checked against our model. Stale lines are the highest-value signal: a book still hanging the old number.

ncaab · WMU @ USI · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

WMU ML

Open 33.1% (+190) → Now 27.4% (+250)
Moved -5.7% win prob in the last 6h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · UAPB @ USC · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

USC -44.5

Open -41.5 (-115) → Now -44.5 (-105)
Moved -3 in 2.8h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · WMU @ USI · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

WMU -7.5

Open +5.5 (-110) → Now +7.5 (-110)
Moved +2 in 2.8h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · PRIN @ URI · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

PRIN +7.5

Open -9.5 (-110) → Now -7.5 (-110)
Moved +2 in 3.3h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · TEM @ LAS · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

TEM @ LAS Over 153.5

Open 151.5 (-105) → Now 153.5 (-105)
Moved +3 in 4.8h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · NIA @ ISU · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

NIA @ ISU Over 144.5

Open 142.5 (-115) → Now 144.5 (-108)
Moved +2 in 3.6h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · UNH @ BC · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

UNH @ BC Over 133.5

Open 131.5 (-105) → Now 133.5 (-105)
Moved +2 in 3h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · NIA @ ISU · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

ISU -39.5

Open -38.5 (-115) → Now -39.5 (-112)
Moved -1 in 3.6h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · HPU @ SLU · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

SLU -6.5

Open -5.5 (-112) → Now -6.5 (-102)
Moved -1 in 5h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · SCST @ COFC · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

SCST +17.5

Open -18.5 (-102) → Now -17.5 (-118)
Moved +1 in 102m
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · QUIN @ CCSU · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

CCSU +4.5

Open +5.5 (-118) → Now +4.5 (-108)
Moved -1 in 3.3h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · BAY @ TEX · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

BAY +5.5

Open -6.5 (-110) → Now -5.5 (-105)
Moved +1 in 8.4h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · NMSU @ SDSU · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

SDSU -12.5

Open -11.5 (-118) → Now -12.5 (-118)
Moved -1 in 3.2h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · PEPP @ ORE · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

PEPP +14.5

Open -16.5 (-112) → Now -14.5 (-110)
Moved +1 since open
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · W&M @ MICH · GAME STEAM
NO MODEL CHECK

W&M +28.5

Open -29.5 (-110) → Now -28.5 (-115)
Moved +1 in 3.4h
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · BOIS @ NEB · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

NEB ML

Open 73.4% (-325) → Now 79.1% (-470)
Drifted +5.8% win prob since open
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · MIZ @ MARQ · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

MARQ -1.5

Open +1.5 (-122) → Now -1.5 (-112)
Drifted -3 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · NORF @ GAST · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

NORF @ GAST Under 146.5

Open 149.5 (-110) → Now 146.5 (-108)
Drifted -3 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · PEPP @ ORE · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

PEPP @ ORE Under 157.5

Open 159.5 (-115) → Now 157.5 (-112)
Drifted -2 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · DART @ BU · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

DART @ BU Under 143.5

Open 145.5 (-115) → Now 143.5 (-112)
Drifted -2 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · WASH @ UTAH · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

UTAH -3.5

Open -2.5 (-108) → Now -3.5 (-108)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · LOU @ MEM · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

MEM +8.5

Open +9.5 (-118) → Now +8.5 (-108)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · BOIS @ NEB · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

NEB -9.5

Open -8.5 (-108) → Now -9.5 (-110)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · IDST @ SEA · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

SEA -16.5

Open -15.5 (-112) → Now -16.5 (-112)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · UALB @ HC · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

HC +2.5

Open +3.5 (-102) → Now +2.5 (-102)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗

How the scout works

What counts as steam?

Inside the last 6 hours, a player prop that moved 1.5+ units (1.0+ on 3-pointers, shots on goal and receptions) or whose juice jumped 25 cents, a spread that moved 1 point, a total that moved 1.5 points, or a moneyline whose win probability shifted 5 points. Anything smaller is noise and is not listed.

What is open drift?

Steam must happen inside our rolling 6-hour window. A line that only differs from the sportsbook's opening number, with no recent velocity, is a slow multi-day drift. It is listed last under Open drift and never counted as steam.

What is a stale line?

Most books have moved to a new number while at least one sportsbook is still hanging the old one. The gap is a live price you can take before that book catches up. We only list it when three or more books are posted and a majority agree on the new number.

What do SHARP ALIGNED and OVERREACTION mean?

Each move is checked against our projection (negative-binomial / normal game-log model, injury cascades) or the exchange consensus. Sharp aligned: the market moved the same way as the model and still has room. Overreaction: the public pushed it past our fair line, which puts the other side at positive expected value.