Line Scout

Live line moves & sharp steam

Only moves that clear strict thresholds, each checked against our model. Stale lines are the highest-value signal: a book still hanging the old number.

ncaab · UNM @ SCU · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

UNM -1.5

Open -2.5 (-110) → Now +1.5 (-110)
Drifted +4 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · MONT @ UND · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

MONT -1.5

Open -1.5 (-112) → Now +1.5 (-112)
Drifted +3 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · DART @ BU · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

DART @ BU Under 143.5

Open 145.5 (-115) → Now 143.5 (-115)
Drifted -2 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · WASH @ UTAH · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

UTAH -3.5

Open -2.5 (-108) → Now -3.5 (-108)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗
ncaab · IDST @ SEA · OPEN DRIFT
OPEN DRIFT · SLOW

SEA -16.5

Open -15.5 (-112) → Now -16.5 (-112)
Drifted -1 since the open (slow, not intraday)
No deep exchange price at the new number to check the move against.
Snipe Line on DraftKings ↗

How the scout works

What counts as steam?

Inside the last 6 hours, a player prop that moved 1.5+ units (1.0+ on 3-pointers, shots on goal and receptions) or whose juice jumped 25 cents, a spread that moved 1 point, a total that moved 1.5 points, or a moneyline whose win probability shifted 5 points. Anything smaller is noise and is not listed.

What is open drift?

Steam must happen inside our rolling 6-hour window. A line that only differs from the sportsbook's opening number, with no recent velocity, is a slow multi-day drift. It is listed last under Open drift and never counted as steam.

What is a stale line?

Most books have moved to a new number while at least one sportsbook is still hanging the old one. The gap is a live price you can take before that book catches up. We only list it when three or more books are posted and a majority agree on the new number.

What do SHARP ALIGNED and OVERREACTION mean?

Each move is checked against our projection (negative-binomial / normal game-log model, injury cascades) or the exchange consensus. Sharp aligned: the market moved the same way as the model and still has room. Overreaction: the public pushed it past our fair line, which puts the other side at positive expected value.

Live Sportsbook Line Movement & Sharp Steam Tracker | SlipNerd